Keith Marshall
prudential grand valley realty
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Blog Posts

If your housing costs are 30% of your income, you can’t afford where you’re living.

If your mortgage payments increase from $800/month to $1100/month how will you cope?

With mortgage interest rates on the rise, home ownership is about to become unaffordable for about four out of five Canadian families. In many cases, families are living in homes they cannot afford already.

Here’s the rule of thumb à If your housing costs exceed 30% of your pre-tax income, you can’t afford where you’re living (according to the Conference Board of Canada).

In the coming months, there will be a number of factors that will place families at risk. With the interests rates having been so low and the ability to put down 5%, many families are carrying high debt loads, which will increase as mortgages come up for renewal. At the same time wages will remain pretty much the same.

Not good.
Storm clouds brewing.


Mortgage rates take a big jump. Time to lock in?

Mortgage rates rose yesterday at three of the major banks. It finally happened. The rest of the lending institutions will follow suit, if not today, then by the end of the week. If you have a flexible mortgage, it is probably time to lock in as rates are now certainly going up and will likely continue to rise in smaller increments over the next several months.

The good news is…sorry there is no good news.

But did you know that if you have decent credit when applying for a mortgage you can negotiate a lower than posted rate? Don’t take rates at face value. Shop around and negotiate for the best mortgage rate you can get.

The rates last week looked something like this.
http://news.therecord.com/Business/article/690677



The eight easy steps to home ownership

Buying a house is like buying a car.



Wenling and I bought a new car recently. During the process, I took notice of the path we were on and how closely it resembled the “learning curve” homebuyers follow.
It went like this:

We weren’t sure what kind of car we wanted, so we started by looking at our options and our needs.

I wanted a small car because I like the feel of tooting around, zip, zip. I like the feel of a sporty little convertible. I can see myself tooling along a scenic road with a mountain on one side and the ocean on the other, the sun is shining, the sky is bird egg blue…I was thinking a Mini, Mazda 3, and good on gas, logic chimes in.

Wenling is more practical, she thinks of others, she had a lot of “what if” scenarios: What if we want to take my parents to Niagara falls, what if we have to pick up Colin and his family at the airport?

Of course she’s right, what was I thinking? We are still at that age we need (and want) to take our girls and their friends to the movies or half the soccer team to a game in London.
As we go through life, needs change. That is true of cars and houses. Having a fenced backyard for the kids is great when they are 6 and 8 but what about when they are 16 and 18? In the words of Ferris Bueller “Life goes by pretty fast”.

Looking at needs. When you’re buying a house, look at what you need now but think about how life will change and what your needs might be like in 5 or 7 years time. That’s some advice. It’s expensive and troublesome to move.

Back to the learning curve. When shopping for a car the process we went through went like this. The comparable for house shopping is included.

Thinking
We talked about what we wanted and needed. Before shopping for a new house, brainstorm, talk about what you want, what the new house has to have and where it is. And think to the future.

Looking
When driving around, and in parking lots we spent time looking at different models and adding them or eliminating them from the list. When house shopping, drive a few neighborhoods. Look at options, amenities, proximities.

Researching
We spent a few evenings, gathering information, mostly online but also from the newspapers, a car guide book and talking with friends, neighbors and (in my case) strangers (Hey I like your car. Are you happy with your Mazda 5?). House shopping should be the same. Never be in a hurry to buy.

More researching
We visited dealerships, took test drives. This is like visit open houses, calling agents and arranging to have a look inside listings.

Even more researching
We talked with salespeople, getting more information. At some point you are going to have to talk with a salesperson. Some are good, some you might not like so much. Now is a good time to talk. At this point, if you haven’t already stumbled upon an agent you want to work with, interview three and decide on one. A buyer agent will save you a lot of time, and effort and will not cost you a thing.

Deciding
Back to our new car, we finally decided what we are going to buy, after all the work above, this was easy. House shopping is the same.

Negotiating.
Again, with enough information gathered from your agent and the process above, you will be confident that you have done a good job at arriving at the right price. Your agent will negotiate for you and let you know what’s happening, what to expect. It the case of buying a new car, we were on our own.

Ownership
In our car shopping, we considered the Mazda 5, the Toyota Highlander, and others. We take delivery of our Honda Pilot next week. I know we made a good choice (and I think we did a pretty good job at negotiating the price.




Who do you want at the controls. (How to choose your Realtor)

It was just off Boracay on the next island over. We’d taken a fishing boat converted now to take the meager, road weary but otherwise hardy travelers across the strait to the bigger island Panay and the regional airport. We were flying back to Manila.
The airport building was a wooden shack. The runway was a hardened field with animals grazing, scattered here and there. I’m not making this up, before I plane took off someone cranked an old horn and the sheep, goats and cattle sauntered off to the sides.
One of the engines was being repaired. We had some time to kill, as is typical when traveling, especially as far off the beaten track as we were. I struck up a conversation with the “baggage handler”.
Turns out that there were two pilots who both wanted to get to Manila that day, but as luck would have it, the plane was sold out, all 12 seats were taken. The pilots were arguing about who got to fly.
I asked the “baggage handler” to tell me which was the better pilot, maybe I thought I could settle this disagreement. Humans tend to have a strong built in survival instinct, the repairman was hitting the engine with a hammer. Maybe I could help stack the odds in my favor.
The “baggage handler” said this.
John has been flying the route for years and has a truly amazing record. During the hundreds, perhaps thousands, of flights, he has not once encountered severe weather or turbulent air and has never experienced a system failure or equipment malfunction. If there is such a thing as good karma, John has it.
The other pilot, Carlo, has not been so fortunate. He has encountered turbulent air countless times and also found himself in the middle of sudden severe storms numerous times. On one occasion, the plane took a lightening strike that knocked out the rudder control. On another occasion, a lightning strike knocked out an engine. During one flight the landing gear malfunctioned and Carlo had to enlist the help of a passenger to manually crank the landing gear into position while he continued to fly the plane. Carlo was still alive because he was expert at landing on beaches and fields and country roadways. If there was such a thing as bad karma, you might say that Carlo had it.
Knowing the experiences of both pilots, who would you rather fly with? Who would you rather have at the controls if, when things got dodgy?
There is often something unexpected in real estate transactions. Choose your realtor wisely. That’s all I’m saying.
As for my story, the engine was fixed, the sky was bird egg blue, the air was turbulence free, and Carlo ended up as our pilot, and as luck would have it, we didn’t get to experience his skill first hand.

The impending doom of higher interest rates (maybe)

In today’s Record there’s a story about interest rates, again and that they would go up soon. April? June? July? It supposes one of those months. This (so called) story isn’t new. If you’ve been following this story, there is nothing new here, in fact for the past 12 to 18 months there’s been a story at least every month that has predicted the future doom of interest rates.

It will increase your mortgage payments, eventually. Lock in now if you’re scared, just like those who locked in 1, 2, 3 years ago. That’s the underlying advice. The banks love security.

Where’s the science you ask? That’s a good one. Here’s how I understand it. The interest rate helps control inflation. If the supply of money is (near) freely available from lenders, consumers will borrow more and thus spend more therefore driving the prices of (certain things like houses but maybe not cars) up. Makes sense, right?

There’s more of course, this being economics, the foggy and impure science. Ask your bank or favorite mortgage broker what a 1% rise in rates will do to your monthly payments. I won’t be seeing you in the Tim Horton’s drive through, I predict.

Back on earth what does this mean to you? Let’s bring it home.

If you’re thinking of selling your house, the pool of possible buyers shrinks as the mortgage they will qualify for becomes smaller.

If you’re thinking of buying. Buy before the rates go up or be prepared to cut out some of your discretionary spending so you can pay your mortgage.

Here’s the story. Notice the could?

Higher interest rates could be coming sooner, says Bank of Canada governor